Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton wins |
36%
±11%
|
2.63 | -4.3% |
| Draw |
29%
±1%
|
3.05 | -12.9% |
| Derby wins |
35%
±10%
|
2.80 | -2.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Charlton
Derby
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Charlton
Derby
Shots
11.0
11.0
Shots On Target
3.5
3.6
Corners
4.1
4.6
Fouls
12.0
12.3
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Charlton
Derby
Shots
10.2
14.6
Shots On Target
3.6
4.2
Corners
4.0
5.0
Fouls
12.8
10.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Charlton Wins
2Draws
1Derby Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
| 27 Feb 2024 | Charlton Win | 1:2 | English Championship |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Derby Win | 0:1 | English Championship |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Derby Win | 2:0 | English Championship |
| 6 Aug 2022 | Charlton Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
Charlton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Coventry | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Portsmouth | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 1:0 | L |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |