Stoke vs Middlesbrough
Final Result
1:2
Middlesbrough to win
Our Prediction
Correct
42%
Middlesbrough to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins |
42%
±12%
|
2.35 | -1.8% |
| Stoke wins |
31%
±11%
|
2.95 | -8.6% |
| Draw |
27%
±1%
|
3.30 | -10.1% |
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Stoke
Middlesbrough
Shots
11.5
12.2
Shots On Target
3.7
3.8
Corners
5.0
5.1
Fouls
11.7
7.9
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Stoke Wins
2Draws
4Middlesbrough Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Middlesbrough Win | 1:3 | English Championship |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Middlesbrough Win | 2:0 | English Championship |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Stoke Win | 2:0 | English Championship |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Stoke Win | 0:2 | English Championship |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | QPR | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Norwich | 0:2 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Hull | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 1:2 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Preston | 0:0 | D |
Middlesbrough - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | West Brom | 2:3 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Southampton | 4:0 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Derby | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Hull | 0:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Blackburn | 0:0 | D |