Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta wins |
48%
±12%
|
2.08 | -0.4% |
| Draw |
28%
±3%
|
3.23 | -9.8% |
| Vallecano wins |
24%
±9%
|
3.85 | -7.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Celta
Vallecano
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Celta
Vallecano
Shots
10.1
14.1
Shots On Target
4.0
4.8
Corners
3.8
5.8
Fouls
11.7
13.6
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Celta
Vallecano
Shots
12.2
11.5
Shots On Target
3.8
3.4
Corners
4.2
4.5
Fouls
12.6
14.8
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Celta Wins
2Draws
5Vallecano Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 18 May 2025 | Vallecano Win | 1:2 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 10 Jan 2025 | Vallecano Win | 2:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 11 Dec 2023 | Draw | 0:0 | La Liga Primera Division |
Celta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | Sevilla | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Valencia | 4:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Oviedo | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Real Madrid | 0:2 | W |
Vallecano - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Mallorca | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Getafe | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Elche | 4:0 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Betis | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Espanol | 1:0 | L |