Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton wins |
37%
±11%
|
2.48 | -7.7% |
| Plymouth wins |
35%
±11%
|
2.70 | -5.3% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.33 | -8.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Plymouth
Luton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Plymouth
Luton
Shots
13.6
13.2
Shots On Target
4.7
4.0
Corners
5.6
6.1
Fouls
11.9
11.6
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Plymouth
Luton
Shots
9.3
18.3
Shots On Target
3.3
3.7
Corners
2.7
13.7
Fouls
10.7
10.7
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Plymouth Wins
2Draws
1Luton Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Plymouth Win | 2:3 | English League One |
| 19 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English League One |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Plymouth Win | 3:1 | English League One |
Plymouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Peterboro | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Burton | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Stevenage | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Wycombe | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Reading | 1:4 | L |
Luton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Lincoln | 2:2 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Stevenage | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Exeter | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Leyton Orient | 3:0 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Wycombe | 4:0 | W |