Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Final Result
0:2
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Missed
50%
Newcastle to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins |
50%
±11%
|
1.94 | -2.5% |
| Draw |
23%
±2%
|
3.75 | -13.7% |
| Aston Villa wins |
27%
±9%
|
3.65 | -2.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Shots
12.9
12.7
Shots On Target
4.6
4.5
Corners
6.1
5.2
Fouls
10.2
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Shots
13.8
11.3
Shots On Target
4.7
4.0
Corners
4.9
4.7
Fouls
13.8
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Newcastle Wins
5Draws
2Aston Villa Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English Premier League |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 4:1 | English Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Newcastle Win | 3:0 | English Premier League |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Newcastle Win | 1:3 | English Premier League |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Newcastle Win | 5:1 | English Premier League |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 4:3 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 1:3 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Man United | 1:0 | L |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Everton | 0:1 | L |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:0 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 4:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 1:2 | W |