Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sociedad wins |
44%
±12%
|
2.00 | -11.5% |
| Draw |
28%
±2%
|
3.40 | -3.7% |
| Celta wins |
27%
±10%
|
3.83 | +4.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sociedad
Celta
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Sociedad
Celta
Shots
12.4
10.1
Shots On Target
4.6
4.0
Corners
5.6
3.8
Fouls
14.2
11.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sociedad
Celta
Shots
9.7
10.3
Shots On Target
3.8
3.4
Corners
5.5
4.4
Fouls
14.8
14.5
Yellow Cards
3.4
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sociedad Wins
5Draws
3Celta Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 13 May 2025 | Celta Win | 0:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Celta Win | 2:0 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Sociedad Win | 0:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
Sociedad - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Barcelona | 2:1 | W |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Getafe | 1:2 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Ath Madrid | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Levante | 1:1 | D |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Girona | 1:2 | L |
Celta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Vallecano | 3:0 | W |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Sevilla | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Valencia | 4:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Oviedo | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 2:0 | W |