Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Braga wins |
73%
±8%
|
1.39 | +0.9% |
| Draw |
18%
±4%
|
4.63 | -18.0% |
| Alverca wins |
9%
±5%
|
7.63 | -28.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Braga
Alverca
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Sp Braga
Alverca
Shots
11.6
9.7
Shots On Target
4.8
3.5
Corners
5.4
4.4
Fouls
11.8
12.5
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Braga
Alverca
Shots
12.0
12.0
Shots On Target
6.0
3.0
Corners
5.0
1.0
Fouls
6.0
15.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
2.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Braga Wins
1Draws
0Alverca Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | Sp Braga Win | 0:3 | Primeira Liga |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 3:3 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 1:0 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 4:1 | L |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Porto | 0:3 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 1:0 | L |