Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom wins |
39%
±11%
|
2.83 | +9.7% |
| Derby wins |
33%
±11%
|
2.55 | -15.4% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.10 | -13.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
West Brom
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Derby
West Brom
Shots
11.0
13.4
Shots On Target
3.6
4.0
Corners
4.6
5.2
Fouls
12.3
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
West Brom
Shots
5.5
17.8
Shots On Target
1.7
4.8
Corners
2.3
5.8
Fouls
12.2
9.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
0.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
4Draws
1West Brom Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Derby Win | 0:1 | English Championship |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Derby Win | 1:3 | English Championship |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Derby Win | 2:1 | English Championship |
| 27 Dec 2021 | Derby Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
| 14 Sep 2021 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | Charlton | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
West Brom - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | Norwich | 0:5 | L |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 2:3 | L |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Swansea | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | QPR | 2:1 | W |