Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins |
69%
±9%
|
1.46 | -0.2% |
| Draw |
20%
±4%
|
4.20 | -16.4% |
| Burton wins |
11%
±5%
|
6.38 | -26.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bolton
Burton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Bolton
Burton
Shots
16.7
11.3
Shots On Target
5.1
3.5
Corners
6.4
5.3
Fouls
10.3
10.9
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bolton
Burton
Shots
17.5
11.5
Shots On Target
5.4
4.0
Corners
7.9
5.0
Fouls
9.0
12.6
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bolton Wins
4Draws
4Burton Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | Burton Win | 3:0 | English League One |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Bolton Win | 1:2 | English League One |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Bolton Win | 2:1 | English League One |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Bolton Win | 1:0 | English League One |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | English League One |
Bolton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Leyton Orient | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Stevenage | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Wigan | 0:1 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Peterboro | 3:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Northampton | 0:0 | D |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | Lincoln | 2:1 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 3:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Plymouth | 3:0 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Reading | 2:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Wigan | 0:2 | L |