Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath wins |
49%
±10%
|
1.81 | -12.1% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.30 | -10.0% |
| Morton wins |
24%
±8%
|
3.80 | -8.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arbroath
Morton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Arbroath
Morton
Shots
8.4
8.8
Shots On Target
3.4
3.4
Corners
5.0
4.4
Fouls
10.9
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arbroath
Morton
Shots
9.0
12.0
Shots On Target
3.6
5.4
Corners
5.3
5.9
Fouls
12.1
12.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arbroath Wins
3Draws
3Morton Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Morton Win | 1:0 | Scottish Championship |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish Championship |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Morton Win | 1:2 | Scottish Championship |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Morton Win | 3:0 | Scottish Championship |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Morton Win | 1:2 | Scottish Championship |
Arbroath - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Raith Rvs | 2:3 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | St Johnstone | 1:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Ross County | 0:2 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Partick | 2:1 | W |
Morton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Partick | 3:2 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Ayr | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | St Johnstone | 5:0 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 0:1 | L |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Queens Park | 2:1 | W |