Bundesliga 31 Jan 2026 12:30 Match Finished

Hamburg vs Bayern Munich

Our Prediction Missed
77% Bayern Munich to win

±7%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Bayern Munich wins
77% ±7%
1.30 +0.2%
Hamburg wins
7% ±4%
7.88 -42.6%
Draw
15% ±3%
6.50 -0.2%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Hamburg
Bayern Munich

Season Statistics

Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.

Stat
Hamburg
Bayern Munich
Shots 12.3 19.2
Shots On Target 4.6 8.5
Corners 3.7 6.4
Fouls 11.8 8.9
Yellow Cards 2.3 1.7
Red Cards 0.2 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Hamburg
Bayern Munich
Shots 9.0 22.0
Shots On Target 2.0 12.0
Corners 3.0 5.0
Fouls 14.0 11.0
Yellow Cards 2.0 2.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Hamburg Wins

0

Draws

0

Bayern Munich Wins

1
Date Result Score Competition
13 Sep 2025 Bayern Munich Win 5:0 Bundesliga

Hamburg - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
23 Jan 2026 St Pauli 0:0 D
17 Jan 2026 M'gladbach 0:0 D
10 Jan 2026 Freiburg 2:1 L
20 Dec 2025 Ein Frankfurt 1:1 D
13 Dec 2025 Hoffenheim 4:1 L

Bayern Munich - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Jan 2026 Augsburg 1:2 L
17 Jan 2026 RB Leipzig 1:5 W
14 Jan 2026 FC Koln 1:3 W
11 Jan 2026 Wolfsburg 8:1 W
21 Dec 2025 Heidenheim 0:4 W