Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave wins |
43%
±12%
|
2.48 | +6.9% |
| Draw |
29%
±2%
|
3.25 | -7.2% |
| Arouca wins |
28%
±10%
|
2.73 | -23.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Rio Ave
Arouca
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Rio Ave
Arouca
Shots
10.5
10.7
Shots On Target
3.9
3.6
Corners
4.3
3.7
Fouls
12.9
13.8
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Rio Ave
Arouca
Shots
10.9
14.0
Shots On Target
4.7
3.6
Corners
4.0
6.1
Fouls
14.7
14.9
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Rio Ave Wins
3Draws
4Arouca Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 3:3 | Primeira Liga |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 1 Sep 2024 | Rio Ave Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 19 Apr 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 4:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 4:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 0:0 | D |