Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins |
54%
±11%
|
1.80 | -3.2% |
| Draw |
22%
±2%
|
3.95 | -14.7% |
| Newcastle wins |
25%
±9%
|
4.05 | -0.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Liverpool
Newcastle
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Liverpool
Newcastle
Shots
15.5
12.9
Shots On Target
4.6
4.6
Corners
6.1
6.1
Fouls
10.1
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Liverpool
Newcastle
Shots
18.1
9.2
Shots On Target
7.1
3.4
Corners
7.0
3.1
Fouls
11.6
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Liverpool Wins
8Draws
2Newcastle Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2025 | Liverpool Win | 2:3 | English Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Liverpool Win | 2:0 | English Premier League |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Draw | 3:3 | English Premier League |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Liverpool Win | 4:2 | English Premier League |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Liverpool Win | 1:2 | English Premier League |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 3:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Burnley | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 0:0 | D |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Aston Villa | 0:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 4:3 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 1:3 | W |