Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins |
48%
±11%
|
2.06 | -0.5% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
3.30 | -12.2% |
| Swansea wins |
25%
±9%
|
3.55 | -11.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Watford
Swansea
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Watford
Swansea
Shots
13.9
12.3
Shots On Target
4.4
3.9
Corners
5.0
4.6
Fouls
11.0
9.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Watford
Swansea
Shots
10.0
12.2
Shots On Target
3.0
3.4
Corners
4.2
5.8
Fouls
14.3
9.3
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Watford Wins
3Draws
2Swansea Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
| 12 Mar 2025 | Watford Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Swansea Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
| 6 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
| 24 Oct 2023 | Watford Win | 0:1 | English Championship |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Millwall | 0:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Birmingham | 3:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 0:1 | W |
Swansea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Hull | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Millwall | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | West Brom | 1:0 | W |