Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts wins |
58%
±10%
|
1.88 | +8.1% |
| St Mirren wins |
20%
±8%
|
3.90 | -23.6% |
| Draw |
23%
±2%
|
3.45 | -21.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Mirren
Hearts
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
St Mirren
Hearts
Shots
11.8
14.4
Shots On Target
3.6
5.1
Corners
5.6
5.6
Fouls
12.6
10.9
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Mirren
Hearts
Shots
11.0
11.9
Shots On Target
3.5
4.8
Corners
5.7
5.0
Fouls
12.8
10.1
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Mirren Wins
2Draws
3Hearts Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Hearts Win | 2:0 | Scottish Premiership |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | Scottish Premiership |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Hearts Win | 3:1 | Scottish Premiership |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Hearts Win | 4:0 | Scottish Premiership |
| 21 Sep 2024 | St Mirren Win | 2:1 | Scottish Premiership |
St Mirren - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:0 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | - | - |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Hearts | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 0:2 | L |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Celtic | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | St Mirren | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:0 | W |