Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
50%
±12%
|
1.89 | -5.5% |
| Paris FC wins |
24%
±10%
|
3.78 | -8.9% |
| Draw |
26%
±2%
|
3.80 | -1.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Paris FC
Marseille
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Paris FC
Marseille
Shots
11.5
15.2
Shots On Target
4.0
5.8
Corners
4.4
5.3
Fouls
10.5
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Paris FC
Marseille
Shots
8.0
12.0
Shots On Target
4.0
7.0
Corners
2.0
5.0
Fouls
12.0
9.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
1.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Paris FC Wins
0Draws
0Marseille Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Marseille Win | 5:2 | Ligue 1 |
Paris FC - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Angers | 0:0 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Nantes | 1:2 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Paris SG | 2:1 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Toulouse | 0:3 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Le Havre | 0:0 | D |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Lens | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Angers | 2:5 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Nantes | 0:2 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Monaco | 1:0 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Lille | 1:0 | L |