Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG wins |
69%
±9%
|
1.42 | -2.5% |
| Draw |
17%
±3%
|
5.25 | -8.3% |
| Marseille wins |
14%
±6%
|
6.13 | -15.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Paris SG
Marseille
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Paris SG
Marseille
Shots
17.7
15.2
Shots On Target
6.7
5.8
Corners
6.3
5.3
Fouls
9.0
12.6
Yellow Cards
1.0
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Paris SG
Marseille
Shots
13.1
12.0
Shots On Target
5.0
3.4
Corners
4.1
4.7
Fouls
9.9
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Paris SG Wins
8Draws
1Marseille Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2025 | Marseille Win | 1:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Paris SG Win | 3:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Paris SG Win | 0:3 | Ligue 1 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Paris SG Win | 0:2 | Ligue 1 |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Paris SG Win | 4:0 | Ligue 1 |
Paris SG - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Strasbourg | 1:2 | W |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Auxerre | 0:1 | W |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Lille | 3:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Paris FC | 2:1 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Metz | 2:3 | W |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Paris FC | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Lens | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Angers | 2:5 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Nantes | 0:2 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Monaco | 1:0 | W |