Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica wins |
85%
±5%
|
1.18 | -0.1% |
| Draw |
11%
±3%
|
6.38 | -28.5% |
| Alverca wins |
4%
±2%
|
15.50 | -41.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Benfica
Alverca
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Benfica
Alverca
Shots
17.1
9.7
Shots On Target
6.1
3.5
Corners
7.2
4.4
Fouls
11.1
12.5
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Benfica
Alverca
Shots
6.0
11.0
Shots On Target
2.0
7.0
Corners
2.0
5.0
Fouls
18.0
12.0
Yellow Cards
6.0
4.0
Red Cards
1.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Benfica Wins
1Draws
0Alverca Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Benfica Win | 1:2 | Primeira Liga |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Tondela | 0:0 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 4:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 0:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 2:2 | D |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 5:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 4:1 | L |