Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale wins |
41%
±12%
|
2.34 | -5.2% |
| Draw |
29%
±2%
|
3.35 | -3.5% |
| Burton wins |
31%
±11%
|
2.85 | -12.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Port Vale
Burton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Port Vale
Burton
Shots
11.0
11.3
Shots On Target
3.1
3.5
Corners
4.9
5.3
Fouls
10.8
10.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.6
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Port Vale
Burton
Shots
13.8
11.6
Shots On Target
5.2
3.0
Corners
5.0
5.2
Fouls
9.4
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.0
2.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Port Vale Wins
2Draws
1Burton Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English League One |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Port Vale Win | 0:1 | English League One |
| 19 Sep 2023 | Burton Win | 2:3 | English League One |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Burton Win | 2:3 | English League One |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Port Vale Win | 0:2 | English League One |
Port Vale - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Leyton Orient | 0:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Exeter | 1:3 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Mansfield | 3:0 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Blackpool | 5:1 | W |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | Doncaster | 1:2 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Cardiff | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Bolton | 2:1 | L |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Lincoln | 2:1 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 3:1 | W |