Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova wins |
44%
±11%
|
2.08 | -8.1% |
| Draw |
31%
±3%
|
3.10 | -4.9% |
| Bari wins |
25%
±9%
|
3.65 | -8.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mantova
Bari
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Mantova
Bari
Shots
14.1
10.3
Shots On Target
4.7
3.1
Corners
4.7
3.4
Fouls
14.6
14.1
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mantova
Bari
Shots
10.0
11.0
Shots On Target
2.7
3.3
Corners
2.7
5.7
Fouls
19.3
17.0
Yellow Cards
3.3
2.7
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mantova Wins
0Draws
0Bari Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Bari Win | 1:0 | Serie B |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Bari Win | 0:1 | Serie B |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Bari Win | 2:0 | Serie B |
Mantova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Pescara | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Venezia | 2:5 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Padova | 1:2 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Palermo | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Carrarese | 0:0 | D |
Bari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Palermo | 0:3 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Cesena | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Juve Stabia | 0:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Carrarese | 1:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Avellino | 1:1 | D |