Aston Villa vs Brighton
Final Result
1:0
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Correct
49%
Aston Villa to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins |
49%
±12%
|
1.91 | -5.8% |
| Draw |
24%
±2%
|
3.73 | -10.6% |
| Brighton wins |
27%
±10%
|
3.78 | +0.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aston Villa
Brighton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Aston Villa
Brighton
Shots
12.7
13.0
Shots On Target
4.5
4.6
Corners
5.2
4.9
Fouls
10.0
11.9
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aston Villa
Brighton
Shots
10.5
12.5
Shots On Target
4.6
4.4
Corners
3.9
5.9
Fouls
11.4
15.0
Yellow Cards
3.4
2.7
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aston Villa Wins
7Draws
2Brighton Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 3:4 | English Premier League |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 0:3 | English Premier League |
| 30 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 | English Premier League |
| 5 May 2024 | Brighton Win | 1:0 | English Premier League |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 6:1 | English Premier League |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0:2 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Everton | 0:1 | L |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:0 | D |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:1 | L |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Man City | 1:1 | D |