Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
59%
±11%
|
1.56 | -7.3% |
| Draw |
22%
±3%
|
4.33 | -4.6% |
| Leeds wins |
19%
±8%
|
5.38 | -0.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Chelsea
Leeds
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Chelsea
Leeds
Shots
13.4
12.6
Shots On Target
4.3
4.0
Corners
6.1
4.4
Fouls
11.2
10.5
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Chelsea
Leeds
Shots
16.0
10.3
Shots On Target
5.3
3.6
Corners
5.1
4.3
Fouls
11.3
11.9
Yellow Cards
0.9
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Chelsea Wins
4Draws
1Leeds Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Leeds Win | 3:1 | English Premier League |
| 4 Mar 2023 | Chelsea Win | 1:0 | English Premier League |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Leeds Win | 3:0 | English Premier League |
| 11 May 2022 | Chelsea Win | 0:3 | English Premier League |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Chelsea Win | 3:2 | English Premier League |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Wolves | 1:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | West Ham | 3:2 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1:3 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Brentford | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:1 | L |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:4 | L |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 4:3 | L |