Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padova wins |
37%
±11%
|
2.73 | +0.9% |
| Draw |
31%
±2%
|
2.93 | -10.1% |
| Carrarese wins |
32%
±10%
|
2.70 | -13.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Padova
Carrarese
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Padova
Carrarese
Shots
11.1
13.3
Shots On Target
3.6
3.9
Corners
4.1
5.7
Fouls
14.9
13.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Padova
Carrarese
Shots
11.0
16.0
Shots On Target
1.0
2.0
Corners
2.0
4.0
Fouls
15.0
17.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
3.0
Red Cards
1.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Padova Wins
0Draws
1Carrarese Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Serie B |
Padova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Juve Stabia | 3:3 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Monza | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sudtirol | 3:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Mantova | 1:2 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Modena | 2:0 | W |
Carrarese - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Sudtirol | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Venezia | 2:1 | L |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Empoli | 3:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Avellino | 1:2 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Bari | 1:0 | W |