Dortmund vs Mainz
Final Result
4:0
Dortmund to win
Our Prediction
Correct
64%
Dortmund to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund wins |
64%
±11%
|
1.55 | -0.9% |
| Draw |
21%
±4%
|
4.45 | -8.1% |
| Mainz wins |
15%
±7%
|
5.38 | -17.0% |
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dortmund
Mainz
Shots
13.7
10.0
Shots On Target
5.3
4.2
Corners
3.6
3.8
Fouls
9.1
14.4
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dortmund Wins
6Draws
2Mainz Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Dortmund Win | 0:2 | Bundesliga |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Dortmund Win | 3:1 | Bundesliga |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Mainz Win | 3:1 | Bundesliga |
| 11 May 2024 | Mainz Win | 3:0 | Bundesliga |
| 19 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | Bundesliga |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Wolfsburg | 1:2 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Heidenheim | 3:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 0:3 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 3:2 | W |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Werder Bremen | 3:0 | W |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Augsburg | 2:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 2:1 | L |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | W |