Derby vs Swansea
Final Result
2:0
Derby to win
Our Prediction
Correct
39%
Derby to win
±13%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
39%
±13%
|
2.15 | -16.5% |
| Draw |
28%
±2%
|
3.20 | -8.9% |
| Swansea wins |
33%
±12%
|
3.35 | +9.5% |
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Swansea
Shots
10.6
8.0
Shots On Target
4.4
2.6
Corners
3.1
3.6
Fouls
14.4
10.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
0.9
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
3Draws
1Swansea Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | Derby Win | 1:2 | English Championship |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Swansea Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
| 27 Nov 2024 | Swansea Win | 1:2 | English Championship |
| 9 Apr 2022 | Swansea Win | 2:1 | English Championship |
| 2 Oct 2021 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Ipswich | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 0:5 | W |
| 23 Jan 2026 | West Brom | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Charlton | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
Swansea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Sheffield Weds | 4:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Watford | 0:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Hull | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |