Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon wins |
49%
±12%
|
1.98 | -3.9% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
3.55 | -3.3% |
| Crewe wins |
24%
±9%
|
3.35 | -18.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Swindon
Crewe
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Swindon
Crewe
Shots
11.5
11.7
Shots On Target
4.5
3.7
Corners
5.3
4.9
Fouls
10.3
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Swindon
Crewe
Shots
13.6
11.6
Shots On Target
4.8
4.1
Corners
6.7
4.2
Fouls
12.1
9.3
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.7
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Swindon Wins
3Draws
3Crewe Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Swindon Win | 0:3 | English League Two |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English League Two |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | English League Two |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Crewe Win | 2:1 | English League Two |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Draw | 2:2 | English League Two |
Swindon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | Barnet | 1:2 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Shrewsbury | 3:1 | L |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Newport County | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Oldham | 3:0 | W |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Harrogate | 0:1 | W |
Crewe - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 0:1 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Gillingham | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Crawley Town | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Barnet | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Colchester | 1:0 | W |