Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padova wins |
51%
±11%
|
2.28 | +16.3% |
| Draw |
28%
±3%
|
3.05 | -13.4% |
| Bari wins |
20%
±8%
|
3.25 | -33.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Padova
Bari
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Padova
Bari
Shots
11.1
10.3
Shots On Target
3.6
3.1
Corners
4.1
3.4
Fouls
14.9
14.1
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Padova
Bari
Shots
17.0
15.0
Shots On Target
7.0
5.0
Corners
7.0
7.0
Fouls
16.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
2.0
Red Cards
1.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Padova Wins
0Draws
0Bari Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Bari Win | 2:1 | Serie B |
Padova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Sampdoria | 1:0 | L |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Carrarese | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Juve Stabia | 3:3 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Monza | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sudtirol | 3:0 | L |
Bari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Sudtirol | 1:2 | L |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Spezia | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Mantova | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Palermo | 0:3 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Cesena | 1:2 | W |