Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton wins |
57%
±11%
|
1.78 | +1.9% |
| Draw |
24%
±3%
|
3.55 | -14.3% |
| Burton wins |
19%
±8%
|
4.33 | -19.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Luton
Burton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Luton
Burton
Shots
13.2
11.3
Shots On Target
4.0
3.5
Corners
6.1
5.3
Fouls
11.6
10.9
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.6
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Luton
Burton
Shots
12.0
8.0
Shots On Target
6.0
3.0
Corners
4.0
6.0
Fouls
10.0
9.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Luton Wins
1Draws
0Burton Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Luton Win | 0:3 | English League One |
Luton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | Wigan | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Cardiff | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bradford | 2:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Blackpool | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 1:0 | L |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | Rotherham | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Port Vale | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Doncaster | 1:2 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Cardiff | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Bolton | 2:1 | L |