Arouca vs Nacional
Final Result
3:0
Arouca to win
Our Prediction
Correct
38%
Arouca to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca wins |
38%
±12%
|
2.28 | -13.5% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.35 | -5.1% |
| Nacional wins |
34%
±11%
|
2.95 | -0.8% |
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arouca
Nacional
Shots
10.3
15.0
Shots On Target
4.3
3.7
Corners
5.7
2.7
Fouls
18.3
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
4.3
Red Cards
0.7
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arouca Wins
3Draws
0Nacional Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Arouca Win | 1:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Arouca Win | 1:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Arouca Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:2 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Guimaraes | 3:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 0:3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:1 | W |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Porto | 0:1 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia | 0:0 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 4:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | L |