Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Braga wins |
67%
±9%
|
1.56 | +4.1% |
| Draw |
20%
±3%
|
3.88 | -23.2% |
| Guimaraes wins |
13%
±6%
|
5.63 | -25.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Braga
Guimaraes
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Sp Braga
Guimaraes
Shots
11.6
13.3
Shots On Target
4.8
3.9
Corners
5.4
4.4
Fouls
11.8
14.5
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Braga
Guimaraes
Shots
12.3
11.3
Shots On Target
4.2
3.1
Corners
5.2
5.0
Fouls
14.5
14.4
Yellow Cards
2.4
3.8
Red Cards
0.3
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Braga Wins
3Draws
4Guimaraes Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 0:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 11 May 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 2:3 | Primeira Liga |
| 6 Jan 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Rio Ave | 3:0 | W |
| 2 Feb 2026 | AVS | 0:4 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 5:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 0:1 | W |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Estrela | 2:1 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Arouca | 3:2 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 4:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Porto | 0:1 | L |