Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao wins |
65%
±10%
|
1.63 | +5.9% |
| Draw |
22%
±4%
|
3.68 | -19.7% |
| Casa Pia wins |
13%
±6%
|
5.25 | -30.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Shots
12.5
8.9
Shots On Target
4.3
2.9
Corners
5.5
4.0
Fouls
15.8
16.1
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Shots
13.7
10.3
Shots On Target
5.0
3.3
Corners
3.8
5.7
Fouls
13.3
14.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Famalicao Wins
3Draws
2Casa Pia Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 16 May 2025 | Famalicao Win | 2:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 17 May 2024 | Casa Pia Win | 1:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Famalicao Win | 0:2 | Primeira Liga |
Famalicao - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:0 | L |
| 9 Feb 2026 | AVS | 3:1 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Gil Vicente | 5:0 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 3:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:1 | W |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Arouca | 3:2 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Nacional | 0:0 | D |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Porto | 2:1 | W |
| 23 Jan 2026 | AVS | 3:3 | D |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 3:0 | L |