Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
51%
±12%
|
1.93 | -1.3% |
| Brest wins |
23%
±10%
|
3.75 | -12.4% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.60 | -8.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brest
Marseille
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Brest
Marseille
Shots
11.2
15.2
Shots On Target
3.5
5.8
Corners
3.9
5.3
Fouls
12.8
12.6
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brest
Marseille
Shots
11.8
11.3
Shots On Target
4.0
4.7
Corners
5.2
3.4
Fouls
11.5
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brest Wins
3Draws
1Marseille Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Marseille Win | 3:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Marseille Win | 4:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Marseille Win | 1:5 | Ligue 1 |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Brest Win | 1:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Marseille Win | 2:0 | Ligue 1 |
Brest - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Lille | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Lorient | 2:0 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Nice | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Toulouse | 0:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Lyon | 2:1 | L |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Strasbourg | 2:2 | D |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Paris SG | 5:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Paris FC | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Lens | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Angers | 2:5 | W |