Bundesliga 28 Feb 2026 09:30 Match Finished

M'gladbach vs Union Berlin

Our Prediction Missed
39% Union Berlin to win

±11%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Union Berlin wins
39% ±11%
2.98 +16.7%
M'gladbach wins
33% ±11%
2.39 -20.5%
Draw
28% ±1%
3.30 -9.2%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

M'gladbach
Union Berlin

Season Statistics

Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.

Stat
M'gladbach
Union Berlin
Shots 11.7 12.5
Shots On Target 4.3 3.9
Corners 3.7 5.0
Fouls 10.8 12.3
Yellow Cards 1.8 2.1
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
M'gladbach
Union Berlin
Shots 10.8 13.2
Shots On Target 3.9 4.3
Corners 5.1 3.9
Fouls 9.0 13.9
Yellow Cards 2.1 1.9

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

M'gladbach Wins

2

Draws

2

Union Berlin Wins

6
Date Result Score Competition
17 Oct 2025 Union Berlin Win 3:1 Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 M'gladbach Win 1:2 Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 M'gladbach Win 1:0 Bundesliga
28 Apr 2024 Draw 0:0 Bundesliga
9 Dec 2023 Union Berlin Win 3:1 Bundesliga

M'gladbach - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
22 Feb 2026 Freiburg 2:1 L
14 Feb 2026 Ein Frankfurt 3:0 L
7 Feb 2026 Leverkusen 1:1 D
31 Jan 2026 Werder Bremen 1:1 D
25 Jan 2026 Stuttgart 0:3 L

Union Berlin - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
21 Feb 2026 Leverkusen 1:0 W
14 Feb 2026 Hamburg 3:2 L
6 Feb 2026 Ein Frankfurt 1:1 D
31 Jan 2026 Hoffenheim 3:1 L
24 Jan 2026 Dortmund 0:3 L