Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton wins |
44%
±12%
|
2.10 | -8.4% |
| Draw |
28%
±2%
|
3.45 | -2.1% |
| Montrose wins |
28%
±10%
|
2.83 | -20.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamilton
Montrose
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Hamilton
Montrose
Shots
9.5
8.5
Shots On Target
4.5
3.6
Corners
4.7
4.0
Fouls
11.1
12.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamilton
Montrose
Shots
9.3
7.2
Shots On Target
5.2
1.7
Corners
4.7
3.7
Fouls
8.5
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamilton Wins
5Draws
1Montrose Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Hamilton Win | 0:4 | Scottish League One |
| 2 Aug 2025 | Hamilton Win | 2:0 | Scottish League One |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Hamilton Win | 1:2 | Scottish League One |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish League One |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Hamilton Win | 0:3 | Scottish League One |
Hamilton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Alloa | 3:0 | L |
| 17 Feb 2026 | East Fife | 1:0 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Inverness C | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Kelty Hearts | 0:0 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Cove Rangers | 2:0 | W |
Montrose - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Queen of Sth | 3:2 | W |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Cove Rangers | 3:1 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Stenhousemuir | 2:2 | D |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Peterhead | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | East Fife | 2:3 | W |