Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins |
41%
±11%
|
2.05 | -15.4% |
| Newcastle wins |
34%
±11%
|
3.15 | +7.5% |
| Draw |
25%
±1%
|
3.82 | -5.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Newcastle
Liverpool
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Newcastle
Liverpool
Shots
9.3
17.6
Shots On Target
3.2
6.9
Corners
3.9
7.1
Fouls
10.3
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Newcastle Wins
0Draws
1Liverpool Wins
9| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Liverpool Win | 4:1 | English Premier League |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Liverpool Win | 2:3 | English Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Liverpool Win | 2:0 | English Premier League |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Draw | 3:3 | English Premier League |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Liverpool Win | 4:2 | English Premier League |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Fulham | 2:0 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | West Ham | 3:1 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 1:1 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Brighton | 3:1 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Arsenal | 1:0 | L |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Brentford | 1:1 | D |
| 15 May 2026 | Aston Villa | 4:2 | L |
| 9 May 2026 | Chelsea | 1:1 | D |
| 3 May 2026 | Man United | 3:2 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Crystal Palace | 3:1 | W |