Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins |
49%
±11%
|
2.00 | -1.1% |
| Toulouse wins |
26%
±9%
|
3.38 | -12.3% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.62 | -10.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Toulouse
Lyon
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Toulouse
Lyon
Shots
12.0
13.9
Shots On Target
4.6
4.3
Corners
4.6
5.6
Fouls
13.3
11.4
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Toulouse Wins
2Draws
2Lyon Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Toulouse Win | 2:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Toulouse Win | 1:2 | Ligue 1 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Lyon Win | 1:2 | Ligue 1 |
| 15 Mar 2024 | Lyon Win | 2:3 | Ligue 1 |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Nantes | 0:0 | D |
| 10 May 2026 | Lyon | 2:1 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Strasbourg | 1:2 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Monaco | 2:2 | D |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Lens | 3:2 | L |
Lyon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Lens | 0:4 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Toulouse | 2:1 | L |
| 3 May 2026 | Rennes | 4:2 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Auxerre | 3:2 | W |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Paris SG | 1:2 | W |