Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes wins |
40%
±11%
|
2.67 | +8.0% |
| Draw |
27%
±1%
|
3.49 | -6.0% |
| Paris FC wins |
33%
±11%
|
2.44 | -20.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Troyes
Paris FC
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Troyes
Paris FC
Shots
11.3
10.1
Shots On Target
3.6
3.9
Corners
5.0
3.9
Fouls
12.1
13.1
Yellow Cards
1.0
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Troyes Wins
1Draws
3Paris FC Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2025 | Paris FC Win | 1:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Paris FC Win | 0:3 | Ligue 1 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Paris FC Win | 1:2 | Ligue 1 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Draw | 2:2 | Ligue 1 |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Draw | 1:1 | Ligue 1 |
Troyes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Grenoble | 1:0 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | Laval | 4:0 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | St Etienne | 0:3 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Boulogne | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Rodez | 2:1 | L |
Paris FC - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Paris SG | 2:1 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Rennes | 2:1 | L |
| 3 May 2026 | Brest | 4:0 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Lille | 0:1 | L |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Metz | 1:3 | W |