Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund wins |
71%
±8%
|
1.32 | -6.8% |
| Draw |
19%
±3%
|
5.25 | -0.1% |
| Hamburg wins |
10%
±4%
|
8.35 | -14.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dortmund
Hamburg
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dortmund
Hamburg
Shots
20.5
6.5
Shots On Target
4.5
3.5
Corners
8.5
2.5
Fouls
9.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dortmund Wins
1Draws
1Hamburg Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Dortmund Win | 3:2 | Bundesliga |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Bundesliga |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Werder Bremen | 0:2 | W |
| 8 May 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:2 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | M'gladbach | 1:0 | L |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Freiburg | 4:0 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Hoffenheim | 2:1 | L |
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Leverkusen | 1:1 | D |
| 10 May 2026 | Freiburg | 3:2 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:2 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Hoffenheim | 1:2 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Werder Bremen | 3:1 | L |