Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen wins |
43%
±12%
|
2.28 | -2.9% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.36 | -15.1% |
| Utrecht wins |
32%
±11%
|
2.85 | -8.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Groningen
Utrecht
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Groningen
Utrecht
Shots
10.7
14.7
Shots On Target
2.7
4.6
Corners
3.4
5.6
Fouls
12.2
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.8
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Groningen Wins
2Draws
3Utrecht Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Utrecht Win | 1:2 | Eredivisie |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Groningen Win | 0:1 | Eredivisie |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Utrecht Win | 3:1 | Eredivisie |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Utrecht Win | 0:1 | Eredivisie |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Utrecht Win | 1:2 | Eredivisie |
Groningen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Heracles | 1:2 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Nijmegen | 2:1 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Excelsior | 2:3 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Feyenoord | 3:1 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0:0 | D |
Utrecht - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | For Sittard | 2:0 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Ajax | 1:2 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | NAC Breda | 2:0 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Excelsior | 5:0 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Telstar | 4:1 | W |