Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo wins Top Bet |
43%
±11%
|
2.41 | +2.9% |
| Draw |
28%
±2%
|
3.30 | -9.2% |
| Casa Pia wins |
30%
±10%
|
2.73 | -18.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Maritimo
Casa Pia
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Maritimo
Casa Pia
Shots
18.0
13.0
Shots On Target
3.0
3.5
Corners
10.0
4.0
Fouls
14.5
16.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
3.0
Red Cards
1.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Maritimo Wins
0Draws
0Casa Pia Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2023 | Casa Pia Win | 2:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 3 Oct 2022 | Casa Pia Win | 1:2 | Primeira Liga |
Maritimo - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May 2023 | Estoril | 3:1 | L |
| 19 May 2023 | Vizela | 1:0 | W |
| 13 May 2023 | Sp Lisbon | 2:1 | L |
| 7 May 2023 | Rio Ave | 2:2 | D |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Guimaraes | 1:2 | L |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |
| 11 May 2026 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Tondela | 0:1 | L |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | L |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | L |