Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton wins |
38%
±11%
|
1.65 | -37.3% |
| Draw |
27%
±1%
|
3.50 | -3.9% |
| Alloa wins |
34%
±10%
|
4.63 | +59.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamilton
Alloa
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamilton
Alloa
Shots
10.6
10.9
Shots On Target
4.2
5.1
Corners
5.9
4.9
Fouls
10.0
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamilton Wins
4Draws
1Alloa Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Hamilton Win | 1:0 | Scottish League One |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Alloa Win | 3:0 | Scottish League One |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Hamilton Win | 1:0 | Scottish League One |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Alloa Win | 1:0 | Scottish League One |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Hamilton Win | 0:1 | Scottish League One |
Hamilton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Inverness C | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Peterhead | 3:1 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Montrose | 0:2 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Alloa | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Stenhousemuir | 3:0 | L |
Alloa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Queen of Sth | 1:4 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Stenhousemuir | 1:0 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | East Fife | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Hamilton | 1:0 | L |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Cove Rangers | 0:1 | W |