Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca wins Top Bet |
50%
±10%
|
2.15 | +7.4% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
3.28 | -12.5% |
| Estrela wins |
23%
±8%
|
3.30 | -22.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alverca
Estrela
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alverca
Estrela
Shots
7.0
12.0
Shots On Target
3.0
4.0
Corners
5.5
4.0
Fouls
20.5
17.5
Yellow Cards
3.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.5
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alverca Wins
0Draws
2Estrela Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | Porto | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Porto | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Arouca | 2:1 | W |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Sp Lisbon | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Sp Braga | 2:2 | D |
| 11 May 2026 | Famalicao | 0:0 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Moreirense | 3:2 | L |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Porto | 1:2 | L |