Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nijmegen wins Top Bet |
66%
±9%
|
1.58 | +3.7% |
| Willem II wins |
13%
±6%
|
4.78 | -39.6% |
| Draw |
22%
±3%
|
4.63 | -0.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Willem II
Nijmegen
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Willem II
Nijmegen
Shots
11.7
16.7
Shots On Target
3.7
6.7
Corners
3.3
5.3
Fouls
9.0
8.3
Yellow Cards
0.7
1.0
Red Cards
0.7
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Willem II Wins
1Draws
2Nijmegen Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Eredivisie |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Willem II Win | 4:1 | Eredivisie |
| 22 Dec 2021 | Nijmegen Win | 0:1 | Eredivisie |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Draw | 0:0 | Eredivisie |
Willem II - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | - | - |
| 18 May 2025 | NAC Breda | 1:1 | D |
| 14 May 2025 | Zwolle | 1:2 | L |
| 9 May 2025 | Heracles | 1:2 | L |
| 3 May 2025 | Nijmegen | 1:1 | D |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Telstar | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | SC Telstar | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:1 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Groningen | 2:1 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | Telstar | 1:1 | D |