Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate wins |
49%
±12%
|
2.13 | +5.1% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
3.40 | -7.0% |
| Barrow wins |
23%
±9%
|
2.85 | -33.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Harrogate
Barrow
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Harrogate
Barrow
Shots
10.1
12.8
Shots On Target
3.2
2.5
Corners
5.0
4.9
Fouls
11.8
11.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Harrogate Wins
5Draws
2Barrow Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | Harrogate Win | 0:1 | English Conference / National League |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Harrogate Win | 1:0 | English Conference / National League |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Harrogate Win | 0:2 | English Conference / National League |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Barrow Win | 0:1 | English Conference / National League |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | English Conference / National League |
Harrogate - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | Wealdstone | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Solihull | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Barnet | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Walsall | 0:2 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Colchester | 1:0 | W |
Barrow - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | Hornchurch | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Hartlepool | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Newport County | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Cambridge | 3:0 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Walsall | 1:3 | L |