Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi wins |
48%
±10%
|
1.77 | -14.5% |
| Draw |
26%
±2%
|
3.68 | -3.1% |
| Mechelen wins |
25%
±8%
|
4.27 | +7.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Charleroi
Mechelen
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Charleroi
Mechelen
Shots
13.6
11.0
Shots On Target
4.1
5.2
Corners
5.3
4.4
Fouls
8.9
10.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Charleroi Wins
2Draws
2Mechelen Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Mechelen Win | 1:0 | Belgian Pro League |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Mechelen Win | 0:2 | Belgian Pro League |
| 18 May 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Belgian Pro League |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Charleroi Win | 3:0 | Belgian Pro League |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Mechelen Win | 0:1 | Belgian Pro League |
Charleroi - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Lommel SK | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | - | - |
| 23 May 2026 | Standard | 0:2 | W |
| 19 May 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1:1 | D |
| 16 May 2026 | Westerlo | 0:1 | L |
Mechelen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Standard | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Gent | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | St Truiden | 3:0 | L |
| 21 May 2026 | Club Brugge | 2:2 | D |
| 17 May 2026 | Anderlecht | 2:2 | D |