Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon wins |
79%
±7%
|
1.21 | -4.1% |
| Draw |
14%
±3%
|
6.13 | -11.8% |
| Alverca wins |
7%
±3%
|
11.25 | -24.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Lisbon
Alverca
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Alverca
Shots
21.0
10.0
Shots On Target
8.5
2.0
Corners
5.5
1.5
Fouls
9.0
11.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Lisbon Wins
2Draws
0Alverca Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Sp Lisbon Win | 1:4 | Primeira Liga |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:0 | Primeira Liga |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Estrela | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Gil Vicente | 3:0 | W |
| 11 May 2026 | Rio Ave | 1:4 | W |
| 4 May 2026 | Guimaraes | 5:1 | W |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Tondela | 2:2 | D |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | Estrela | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Porto | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Porto | 1:0 | L |