Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins |
43%
±12%
|
1.83 | -22.2% |
| Draw |
28%
±2%
|
3.60 | +0.9% |
| Troyes wins |
29%
±10%
|
4.30 | +26.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lorient
Troyes
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lorient
Troyes
Shots
14.2
9.7
Shots On Target
5.2
3.0
Corners
3.7
4.0
Fouls
11.7
10.2
Yellow Cards
0.5
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lorient Wins
3Draws
2Troyes Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2025 | Lorient Win | 0:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Lorient Win | 2:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Lorient Win | 2:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 23 Oct 2022 | Draw | 2:2 | Ligue 1 |
| 21 May 2022 | Draw | 1:1 | Ligue 1 |
Lorient - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Nice | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Le Havre | 0:2 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Metz | 0:4 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Paris SG | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Strasbourg | 2:3 | L |
Troyes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Paris FC | - | - |
| 9 May 2026 | Grenoble | 1:0 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | Laval | 4:0 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | St Etienne | 0:3 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Boulogne | 1:0 | W |