Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
40%
±12%
|
1.83 | -27.7% |
| Draw |
24%
±1%
|
4.00 | -3.8% |
| Brighton wins |
36%
±11%
|
3.95 | +43.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Chelsea
Brighton
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Chelsea
Brighton
Shots
11.2
15.8
Shots On Target
3.8
6.0
Corners
6.4
5.8
Fouls
10.7
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Chelsea Wins
3Draws
2Brighton Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2026 | Brighton Win | 3:0 | English Premier League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Brighton Win | 1:3 | English Premier League |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Brighton Win | 3:0 | English Premier League |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Chelsea Win | 4:2 | English Premier League |
| 15 May 2024 | Chelsea Win | 1:2 | English Premier League |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | Fulham | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Sunderland | 2:1 | L |
| 19 May 2026 | Tottenham | 2:1 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Liverpool | 1:1 | D |
| 4 May 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 1:3 | L |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Aston Villa | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Man United | 0:3 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | Leeds | 1:0 | L |
| 9 May 2026 | Wolves | 3:0 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Newcastle | 3:1 | L |