Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins |
39%
±12%
|
2.40 | -6.2% |
| Draw |
25%
±1%
|
3.70 | -6.3% |
| Marseille wins |
36%
±11%
|
2.70 | -3.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Monaco
Marseille
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Monaco
Marseille
Shots
8.9
15.4
Shots On Target
4.2
5.9
Corners
2.7
6.2
Fouls
13.6
10.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Monaco Wins
5Draws
2Marseille Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Monaco Win | 2:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Monaco Win | 2:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Marseille Win | 1:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Monaco Win | 3:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Marseille Win | 2:1 | Ligue 1 |
Monaco - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Le Havre | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Strasbourg | 5:4 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Lille | 0:1 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | Metz | 1:2 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Toulouse | 2:2 | D |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | Strasbourg | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Rennes | 3:1 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Le Havre | 0:1 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Nantes | 3:0 | L |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Nice | 1:1 | D |