Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins |
58%
±10%
|
1.48 | -14.1% |
| Lecce wins |
19%
±8%
|
7.50 | +39.6% |
| Draw |
24%
±2%
|
4.10 | -3.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lecce
Roma
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lecce
Roma
Shots
10.2
15.4
Shots On Target
3.1
5.5
Corners
3.2
6.9
Fouls
12.8
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lecce Wins
0Draws
2Roma Wins
7| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Roma Win | 1:0 | Serie A |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Roma Win | 0:2 | Serie A |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Roma Win | 0:1 | Serie A |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Roma Win | 4:1 | Serie A |
| 1 Apr 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | Serie A |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Venezia | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Venezia | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Genoa | 1:0 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Sassuolo | 2:3 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Juventus | 0:1 | L |
Roma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | Fiorentina | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Fiorentina | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Verona | 0:2 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Lazio | 2:0 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Parma | 2:3 | W |